sábado, 3 de setembro de 2016

Copebrás in Chinese hands

On the 28th April 2016 China Molybdenum Co. Ltd. (CMOC) reached an agreement to purchase Anglo American's Brazilian niobium and phosphates assets, Anglo Fosfatos, in a transaction worth US$1.5 billion. While it was ultimately the niobium assets that were the draw card, leading to CMOC paying a premium of around US$500 million, many of the bidders, including EuroChem, Mosaic, Vale and the various private equity firms involved, had shown a keen interest in the phosphate assets. These are seen to be profit-making operations with easy access to a market with promising long-term demand growth. The unexpected conclusion has prompted a number of questions, including: 
  • Who is CMOC and why is it interested in phosphates?
  • Why did Anglo American sell its phosphate assets?
  • Why did CMOC pay a premium over other bidders?
  • Will CMOC continue to operate the fertilizer unit or will it spin it off?
  • Are there any structural changes that could be made to the business once the transaction is completed? 
  • Does the breadth of bidders point to a renewed interest in phosphate assets? 
  • How can potential bidders understand the core businesses better in other diversification or spin off opportunities? 
CRU's cross-commodities coverage of metals, mining and fertilizers, in addition to our detailed and robust cost modelling work, can help to answer some of these questions.

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