Argus FMB Strategy Report: World Processed Phosphates Outlook to 2028

 

This strategy report examines the major changes currently underway in the industry, and their impact on the future shape of the sector.
In particular the report addresses:

• The significant role of China in the phosphates market, with forecasts of its continued capacity build-up, and the likely development of its exports
• The major influence of OCP on processed phosphates and in particular the future of its Jorf Lasfar Phosphate hub
• The decline of production in North America and Europe, and inevitable closures
• Changes in the patterns and mix of phosphate products, particularly amongst ammonium phosphates
• Demand growth for processed phosphates, international trade and pricing
• The increasing role of micronutrients in phosphate products as a path to balanced fertilization and product differentiation

The report provides annual price forecasts to 2028 for the key international processed phosphate benchmarks: DAP, MAP, TSP, SSP, and phosphoric acid.
The report presents essential insights, analysis and guidance for producers and consumers of processed fertilizer phosphates, as well as academics and investors in the fertilizer industry.
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Argus FMB Strategy Report: World Phosphate Rock Outlook to 2028

The World Phosphate Rock Outlook to 2028 is a ground-breaking document. It tackles the important issues of the day:

• The peak phosphates debate - how credible is it?
• Declining grades - will new phosphate rock currently under assessment be suitable for merchant deliveries or acid plants
• What is the impact of impurities on the suitability of rock for the main end-uses
• Where will investment be seen and at what overall project cost
• What is the future of rock trade and how will the quality of rock traded alter
• What will be the impact of entry costs and the poorer grade/quality of ore being mined

The phosphate industry is undergoing major changes. The World Phosphate Rock Outlook to 2028 analyses the changes which are already occurring in the availability of various grades and qualities of rock. The companion study “Argus FMB Strategy Report: World Processed Phosphates Outlook to 2028” analyses the impact of changing rock supply on the type and production which can be produced using poorer grade/quality rock.